Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 216.379903 243.109469 272.638825 307.819055 348.768367 395.142784 451.937639
2025-03-09 175.721736 211.009966 253.374739 308.538214 379.288778 468.114280 589.885275
2025-03-16 150.396293 188.429021 236.611732 303.172353 394.405594 517.607981 701.070677
2025-03-23 134.919593 174.864984 227.714143 304.361435 415.458123 575.209181 831.205234
2025-03-30 120.702675 160.718256 215.536656 298.261492 423.867891 614.369074 939.765307
2025-04-06 110.549958 150.759890 207.582295 296.467802 437.311674 661.842215 1069.531401
2025-04-13 99.042718 137.608854 193.453101 283.336784 430.739462 675.506023 1143.199304
2025-04-20 94.927117 134.735013 194.017531 292.658020 461.109891 754.835667 1352.215002
2025-04-27 91.883021 133.089358 196.125177 304.441684 496.930713 849.368235 1613.384844
2025-05-04 86.774782 127.773577 191.878500 304.988604 512.777708 909.288547 1817.623274
2025-05-11 80.547362 120.182110 183.258543 296.982012 511.684686 935.768764 1953.923325
2025-05-18 75.334355 113.820879 176.107852 290.755787 513.003005 967.072076 2109.343593
2025-05-25 72.836291 111.784651 176.163900 297.810922 541.746178 1062.460866 2455.904896
2025-06-01 69.435796 108.005198 172.926168 298.419774 557.655446 1133.050549 2761.804919
2025-06-08 65.451748 102.947872 167.024053 293.272633 560.714933 1174.535168 2999.532502
2025-06-15 62.774653 99.938908 164.504284 294.413888 577.399626 1251.766392 3372.637110
2025-06-22 59.327180 95.359478 158.784099 288.558259 577.686995 1288.161187 3629.442749
2025-06-29 56.725160 92.108440 155.265509 286.836194 587.182272 1350.362754 3999.303781
2025-07-06 52.903650 86.458765 146.886426 274.226485 569.501762 1336.314334 4090.614400
2025-07-13 52.074661 86.164381 148.613291 283.178214 604.899914 1477.126522 4833.647344
2025-07-20 51.544984 86.374435 151.307948 294.490920 647.949875 1651.033097 5812.206970
2025-07-27 49.811767 84.237630 149.241317 295.015879 663.473356 1745.497852 6499.946395
2025-08-03 47.306852 80.513221 143.774351 287.329880 656.287403 1766.561401 6853.382306